In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ307
2030
25%
Attention is all you need
16%
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition
59%
Other

Resolves to the option with the highest total (aka cumulative) number of citations on 1/1/2030 according to google scholar.

Papers must be about new AI techniques. Not other topics like applications or history. Meta-Analyses don't count either.

#️ Technology
#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#️ AI Alignment
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
8 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 Other YES

Is this citations during 2030 or cumulative evaluated at 12/31/2030 (or 1/1/2030)?

@Mactuary it's the cumulative number of citations on 1/1/2030 (which is the market close date)

Attention is all you need has 120k citations on google scholar

yea, but resnet has 200k

Dang!

bought Ṁ1 Other YES

you did not know?

Nah I'm not actually that across the literature. Hence the market!

it's actually a great thing to bet on, that if attention will have more citations than resnet in 2030

Related questions