What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
Mini
10
Ṁ1440
2101
16%
2025
20%
2026
24%
2027
26%
2028
29%
2029
39%
2030
52%
2040
70%
2050
74%
2075
88%
2100
Resolved
13%
2023
Resolved
14%
2024

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Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data:

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption

(I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)

Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)

Fusion does not count for this market.

If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.

I will not trade in the market.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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From the 2023 data shown:

Other renewables: 2,411 TWh

Modern biofuels: 1,319 TWh

Solar: 4,027 TWh

Wind: 5,665 TWh

Hydropower: 10,392 TWh

✅ Total renewables (excluding nuclear): 23,814 TWh

/ 181,912

= 13%

2024:

Other renewables: 2,476 TWh

Modern biofuels: 1,367 TWh

Solar: 5,151 TWh

Wind: 6,124 TWh

Hydropower: 10,861 TWh

Total energy: 186,383 TWh

✅ Sum of renewables (excluding nuclear):

2,476 + 1,367 + 5,151 + 6,124 + 10,861 = 25,979 TWh

✅ Percentage:

25,979 ÷ 186,383 = 0.1394 → 13.9 %

Watch out for arb with the nuclear market. They can't add to more than 100%.

bought Ṁ10 2100 NO

once again, almost no one appreciates how little of our global energy usage is even electrified to begin with, even though you explicitly called it out!

@pyrylium alas. Made it bold..

13% in 2022