What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)? | Manifold

What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?

Mini

9

Ṁ1305

2101

1D

1W

1M

ALL

13%

2023

16%

2024

22%

2025

42%

2030

63%

2040

81%

2050

83%

2075

88%

2100

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Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data:

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption

(I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)

Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)

Fusion does not count for this market.

If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.

I will not trade in the market.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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Watch out for arb with the nuclear market. They can't add to more than 100%.

bought Ṁ10 2100 NO

once again, almost no one appreciates how little of our global energy usage is even electrified to begin with, even though you explicitly called it out!

@pyrylium alas. Made it bold..

13% in 2022

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