Will a deadly disease evolve in outerspace by 2100?
Mini
9
Ṁ2142100
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Criteria
Must be classified as a new species, previously unknown
Must be found outside of earth (but can originate from earth)
Must be capable of making a person sick and killing them
I'll resolve when the first death occurs, or if the disease is eliminated I'll assess whether it could plausibly kill a typical 80 year old.
I may change the criteria in response to good suggestions.
I will not trade on this market.
More people means more evolution:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
30% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2100?
11% chance
Will a human die in space by 2035?
75% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2080?
10% chance
Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030?
17% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from the Moon before the end of 2070?
10% chance
Will anyone die at least 100,000km from Earth before 2030?
18% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from the Moon before the end of 2050?
5% chance
Will all infectious diseases of all types be effectively eliminated from human civilization before 2040?
6% chance