
Resolves yes if any humanoid robot built by an Elon Musk company takes a step on Mars before a human does.
@AndrewMcKnight Musk has
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1900774290682683612
"Starship departs for Mars at the end of next year, carrying Optimus.
If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely."
Of course, maybe it will just be a useless cargo stunt and/or they fail to walk on surface?
Does falling over on first step count as a 'walk'? Similarly walking in landed ship but failing to get down to surface?
@MalachiteEagle The timeline is pretty wild. (as normal for Musk)
Optimus would seem to make sense. Need something to lay out solar panels and connect up to battery system to be able to do anything. Not sure how well/quickly it will adapt to 38% gravity but long distance software updates can be done.
This market should be lower than this one:
https://manifold.markets/jim/will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m