Will Kari Lake be found guilty of defaming Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer?
13
Ṁ190
2025
83%
chance

See https://tucson.com/news/local/government-politics/kari-lake-election-arizona-governor-defamation-lawsuit-ruling/article_f50825ac-9f50-11ee-801a-9b7c9f482817.html for context.

A decision by Maricopa County Superior Court will determine the outcome of this question, any appeals are excluded.

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bought Ṁ1 YES

Not specifically about the probability here but I'm not a fan of this decision. An allegation, however much of an obvious lie, of an official action taken by an elected official should not be subject to liability.

404 on the article

predicts YES

@mattyb thanks, paywall issue. Corrected link to other outlet with same content