Does Elon Musk already have a CRISPR baby?
Does Elon Musk already have a CRISPR baby?
9
Ṁ320
2035
7%
chance

This question will resolve to true if a well-known science publication (such as MIT Technology Review, Scientific American, or Science News) reports that Elon Musk is either (1) the parent or (2) the clone source of a child with a CRISPR-edited genome and a birth date on or before February 26, 2025.

#Elon musk
#genomics
#gene editing
#DNA
#CRISPR
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
3 Comments
10 Holders
11 Trades


Sort by:
1mo

Y'know? This is an interesting one.

1mo

I think this is a true test of if the technology exists or not. I see a high liklihood that he would do it if if he could get his hands on it.

1mo

@Quroe He also has connections in China which is the only place it has been reported to have been done https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6724388/

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.

Related questions