[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]
12
Ṁ2312029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
45%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate increases
39%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate decreases
8%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate increases
7%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate decreases
Murder rate comparison will be between:
The four years before the next mayoral election
The four years after the next mayoral election
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Related questions
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69% chance
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Who will win the NYC mayoral general election?
NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor?
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Who will come in second place in the 2025 New York mayoral election?
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