MANIFOLD
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[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]
15
Ṁ576
2029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate increases
64%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate decreases
0.9%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate increases
0.9%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate decreases

Murder rate comparison will be between:

  • The four years before the next mayoral election

  • The four years after the next mayoral election

#️ Politics
#2025 NYC Elections
#NYC
#New York
#Crime
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