If Trump wins, will democracy in the USA end?
56
Ṁ15k2025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Donald Trump wins the election and within 5 days of his inauguration he or Congress has made changes to election laws or the judicial precess determining elections, or, if the US has moved out of one of the democracy categories as defined by the Economist Democracy Index, it will resolve yes.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Please add this resolution criteria to the market description, as well as change the title to be more in line with the description: "Will Trump change election laws within 5 days of inauguration?"
That way there isn't a scenario where an election law is changed to strengthen democracy which would make this market resolves yes despite the title implying that the changes could only be moving away from democracy
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?
65% chance
Will Donald Trump win the Presidential Election of the United States of America in 2024?
47% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he win the popular vote?
38% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will it be the end of Democracy as we know it?
22% chance
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
37% chance
Will Trump win the US Presidential election?
47% chance
If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Will Trump be the next president?
44% chance
If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?
35% chance
🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
80% chance