Will @realDonaldTrump report that being banned from Manifold was good, actually?
24
Ṁ24k
Nov 1
15%
chance

He's banned (by his own request) until 1 November. When he comes back, will he say it was good for him to be off the site?

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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I think its more likely then 10% a middle schooler says "i think being offline for a week was good actually"

bought Ṁ25 YES from 11% to 13%
boughtṀ4,000NO

@realDonaldTrump this has to be insider trading

@HunterHoinkes I trust that he will consider and reflect upon the situation and give a truthful answer when asked. Internet points are easy come, easy go. Integrity lasts longer.

bought Ṁ50 NO

There might be a chance if he had been on the site a long time and had become jaded. But he is just too fresh for that.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen You never know!

Why was he banned?

@xjp the discord would be informative here (look up @realDonaldTrump on the discord for manifold) but also this market: https://manifold.markets/realDonaldTrump/am-i-screwed-read-desc?r=Tm9fdWg

@xjp No one knows, 400lb Manifold mods have no power in the real world so they ban people left and right for no reason

bought Ṁ50 NO

@PhilMenendez genuinely you are so wrong lmao

the short of it is: he specifically asked to be banned because he was already receiving punishment from his parents/school to not be here for a while