Only if Max Verstappen wins the 2024 World Drivers Championship and Red Bull comes in 2nd or below in the World Constructor Championship will this resolve to YES. If Max loses the WDC or RBR wins the WCC this will resolve NO.
I will not participate in this market myself.
@AnonPlz I'm curious. What's reasoning behind buying NO after RBR list the lead in the WCC while Max winning WDC became more likely?
@Enlil I don’t think Max’s odds are higher than 65%. So it’s based purely on that. While Max may have become more likely following the weekend than before, he became much less likely between qualifying and after the race, when I bet. I think any weekend Lando is liable to take 15 points out of him
@AnonPlz The expectation that Lando should be able to gain 15 points every race weekend seems entirely reasonable. I agree that he should have been able to do this likely since Silverstone or at least Hungary. Yet, he hasn't managed to do so in a single race. It's kinda cursed honestly
@Enlil Yeah, seems like every weekend there is a new non-predictive event keeping him from closing the gap. All the luck/team/driver errors have been astounding. I am betting that they really are non-predictive I guess!