Will Amish fertility drop below 5 children per women by the end of 2040?
Mini
1
Ṁ21
2041
59%
chance

https://x.com/lymanstoneky/status/1826626736140026126?s=19

Closes 6 months in to give time for the data to come out

#Science
#Public Health
#️ Medicine
#Health
#Futurism
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

What if it drops below 5 and then rebounds?

That would count as dropping below 5, yes. That said, I'll only be considering sources that are published yearly, so if, say, the one-month fertility rate drops that low and then rebounds within the year, I won't pay any attention.

Related questions