2025 Mayor Race. Based on if these events happen after market publication date and before or on Election Day November 4, 2025
Official bid: run as non-Democrat as per this Polymarket
>$25m: "spend at least $25 million on the campaign (including PACs)" (suggested by @cthor)
Mosque and mayoral forum ideas stolen from: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/27/nyregion/cuomo-mayor-campaign.html
Clarification: these will resolve independently of each other. e.g. if he takes himself off the ballot but still rides the subway, I will count that as riding the subway! (as an effort to get write-in votes?). However the campaign rally would have to be for himself, not for a potential other candidate he is endorsing.
Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Cuomo appears on ballot' outcome:
This will resolve when the first early voting ballots are released.
The condition is his actual appearance on the released ballot, not a legal guarantee that he will appear.
When will Cuomo appears on ballot resolve?
Reporting indicates that he will be on the ballot and he is unable to remove himself from the ballot now. I believe this should resolve YES now
@jewbeard I was planning to resolve when the first early voting ballots get released, as there are still ways he could be disqualified from ballot. Agree he’s essentially guaranteed on there though. But guaranteed to appear is not same thing as appear on ballot — hope that’s not being too literal