Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling US car models for 2025

Plus

Ṁ12k

2026

10%

chance

ALL

e.g. will appear on a list like this of top selling public cars, trucks, and SUVs covering the year 2025: https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g39628015/best-selling-cars-2022/

#Tesla

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

6 Comments

63 Holders

129 Trades

Sort by:

2mo

2024 Numbers: The 25 Bestselling Cars, Trucks, and SUVs of 2024

bought Ṁ100 NO2mo

@JDTurk estimates are that they sold about 40K of them in 2024. They would need to sell at least 150K this year to be a contender. And since the sales have already slowed down and production has been idled here and there it will not happen.

Edit: Nvm

9mo

Globally or US only?

9mo

US Only

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!

Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.

Why should I trade?

Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.

Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.

Get started for free! No credit card required.

What are sweepstakes markets?

There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.

By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.

As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.

Learn more.

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!

Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why should I trade?

Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.

Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.

Get started for free! No credit card required.

What are sweepstakes markets?

There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.

By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.

As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.

Learn more.

What is this?

Related questions

What is this?

Related questions