Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket
โž•
Plus
23
แน€4816
2026
85%
Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026
62%
Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines)
58%
I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028
50%
I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
26%
US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026
22%
Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025
13%
Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026
12%
Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025
11%
I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

Any tests will be done:

  • With my model Y 2023

  • With fsd paid for

  • At my current slanted not easy driveway or equivalent

All of this is regarding tesla FSD

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I got FSD13 a few days ago and it's pretty awesome & seems way more aware of what's going on, and doesn't tailgate as much when people merge in closely in front of me. Not 100% following my preference to keep more distance, but compared to FSD12, more than 50% of the remaining driving problems areas are gone now. e.g. FSD12 was about 90% perfect, and FSD13 is above 95%

@Ernie gonna need a lot more than one nine of correctness to get across the country without help ๐Ÿ˜†

@DavidFWatson bet ya

By my comment I meant that even me, a big booster, was surprised that over 50% of the remaining small base area got fixed in this update

I can regularly go very far with no critical disengagements, and let it run through many more environments now

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026

@Ernie Based on context, this is specifically a market about Tesla's FSD?

@DavidFWatson Yes will update desc