Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
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Within a year of the election, will Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk?

This could be for any reason, provoked or otherwise. Things like belittling nicknames and personal insults would count, or "I never liked him anyway" type statements.

As this might be somewhat subjective, I won't trade.

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Define "the election". Trump has been in three elections (not including primaries).

bought แน€500 NO

Personally I think if he leaves soon without it happening the probability becomes much much less likely: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/02/trump-musk-leaving-political-liability-00265784

@Balasar Seems like it's going to be an amicable breakup

@TimothyBandors "The president is pleased with Elon Musk, but the decision comes as the tech mogul increasingly looks like a political liability." I'll be the first to say I will be shocked if this resolves NO but its looking like its headed that way.

opened a แน€9,000 NO at 28% order

Nah

@skibidist lolololol

@skibidist the president never lies in ALL CAPS. It's cruise control for TRUTH.

@MartinRandall the funniest part about this is that barely anyone was talking about what the Cabinet thinks about Musk. By tweeting this he basically confirmed that at least a couple of people are already tired of his BS.

Some thoughts from the high human capital guru

sold แน€321 YES

@skibidist paywall, but Iโ€™ve just been thinking about how Trump ends up fighting with EVERYBODY. In retrospect, itโ€™s really insane that Trump broke up with his 1st term VP. But because itโ€™s Trump we donโ€™t really think about it.

opened a แน€10,000 NO at 42% order

Regardless of your politics, I think we can all agree these are fantastic odds, so do fill my order

lol. 6 months left โฑ๏ธ

All Yes buyers please sign at your earliest convenience:

@elf six months until what?

@JimAusman oops, miscalculated the market end date

No, Musk owns him. Watch the interview from today, he would never let anyone else do that.

bought แน€500 NO from 41% to 38%

@Predictor can you link the interview?

filled a แน€500 NO at 28% order

He's got him. This is more than owing money. Something is amiss. We're venturing into Secret Life territory.

@Predictor thanks!

@Predictor restored democracy is when all powers are in Elonโ€™s hands.

@JaimeSantaCruz I, uh... I don't think that word means what you think it means? ๐Ÿ˜