Will China Supply Arms to Russia during 2024?
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แน7827Jan 1
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This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
Remake of https://manifold.markets/footgun/will-china-supply-arms-to-russia-in, but about 2024 instead of 2023.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-warns-china-could-arm-russia-as-ukraine-seeks-to-repel-advances-in-east-a5fd3e9e
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@ooe133 Never mind, I checked and this was wrong. Their shifts in probabilities just now were very mundane, and their decisions were not interesting.
I still think it's worth consideration that the bots overreact to government and military spokespeople hyping up various China threats.
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