Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?
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Ṁ1334
2030
25%
chance

Individuals have been making more and more via the leverage of the internet. AI will accelerate what a single individual can do.

Will there be a single person that makes a billion dollars by themselves before 2030? Person must not have a single employe or use any independent contractors.

Person must make 99.9% of the money utilizing AI to generate wealth.

Edge cases will resolve No. Must be conclusive. The spirit of the question is a single person utilizing AI to make products or services that are sold over the internet.

Resolves Yes if there's credible media coverage confirming that such a person exists.

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Maybe through stock trading but it would be very hard to do an ML hedge fund with just one person

“When everyone’s super, no one is”

The only way this happens is if the dev is completely asocial or intentionally not hiring out of principal / servere social awkwardness.

Would a trading algo count for this to work?

Are we counting gross or net?

@AnilJason Sam Altman says he thinks one person could run an entire large company. I agree the person who does this will probably be antisocial. No, trading algo does not count. Has to be through a business venture. And its revenue, not profit

@GabeGarboden in b4 alignmentheads would legally require the antisocial to hire human alignmentheads to align.