Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
Plus
54
Ṁ13k2030
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?
bought Ṁ350 NO from 27% to 20%
@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu
Related questions
Related questions
Will any practical applications of quantum computing be commercially available to retail consumers before end of 2026?
8% chance
Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?
18% chance
Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
30% chance
Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
68% chance
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
18% chance
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2030
Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?
26% chance
Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?
26% chance
Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
Will quantum computers simulate complex biological systems faster or more accurately than classical computers by 2026?
6% chance