The probability of this question is real
6
แน€237
Sep 30
60%
chance

I will ask @FairlyRandom for a random number 1 to 100 when market closes. If it is more than probability I will resolve no, otherwise yes.

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THE PROBABILITY OF THAT QUESTION IS NOT REAL

/s

I'm not sure how the title relates to the description. According to the description, if the market is at, say, 60%, there is a 40% chance the random number is above 60, so a 40% for a YES resolution. The title sounds more like 60% would lead to 60% yes. I set my limit orders based on the description, so I hope you're sticking with that.

@4fa in that case I'll flip the resolution

@mods Creator flipping resolution to trick traders out of their mana?

I changed it

@4fa I changed it okay? It's just a number

@Gabu You changed it after buying into my limit orders, effectively costing me mana. Not much, but still.

@4fa bro chill

@Gabu do not mess with people who create limit orders on all markets using pure skill given market description, you are effectively stealing their mana (expected value)

@Gabu yeah in this case it looks like nobody lost huge amounts but definitely don't flip market criteria again without either checking if all traders are ok with it or refunding their losses

The only bet that makes sense is trying to move it closer to an exact integer percentage, but I'm not sure you even can