Natural Language Robot by 2030?
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20
แน€536
2030
82%
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Consumer price point

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predicts NO

Multi task, intelligent, eg the video.

predicts YES

@Gigacasting way too vague, selling my shares

As in, available for consumer purchase or at consumer price points? What are consumer price points, if so?

Like, I can imagine someone making a basic robot (like the roomba mentioned by Jon Simon) that is pretty cheap and then just hooking up to a LLM with the outputs of the LLM hooked up to cleaning-area prioritization so you can tell it to prioritize cleaning the spill in front of the TV easily. But it could not be official, and would be aftermarket modification with opensource mod.

predicts YES

How much does the robot need to be able to do? Does an instruction-following Roomba count? If not, why not?

@Gigacasting

This is clickbait. Parameters does not mean intelligence. We don't actually know whether PaLM is good or not, but my bet would be that it's worse for most general tasks than GPT-4.