What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024?
225
Ṁ92k
Jan 1
42%
OpenAI
18%
DeepMind
17%
Anthropic
14%
XAI
7%
Meta

2022: OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind

Based on twtr buzz, search trends, etc.

Resolves ~50/30/20;

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Specify the resolution criteria and whatever 50/30/20 means please

Cavendish Labs

just u wait

Anyone else get errors trying to bid on some of these?

If they're at zero you may need to use a limit order

With llama 3 400b it's wild to me that meta is only at 6%

sold Ṁ25 DeepMind YES

Google Brain and inflection are both subsumed by deepmind and Microsoft respectively, right?

Google Brain no longer exists, it's been merged with Deepmind to create "Google Deepmind".

Right - should those be n/a?

I mean people can vote for obviously wrong things if they want, it just means more mana for us.

bought Ṁ25 DeepMind YES

2/3 will probably be decided on vibes if OAI is #1

but DM has a small chance to be #1

and DM is probably #2 under an objective view

but Anth could release a good LLM or they judge could be particularly safety minded

Lol I'm unable to vote yes on Microsoft

@wrhall You can do it with limit orders