Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation? | Manifold

Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation?

Mini

7

Ṁ138

2031

68%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Anything as coincidental as these will count for a 100% resolution, while generic “pandemic preparedness” without similar timing/virus-type settles close to 0%.

https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/

https://nypost.com/2022/05/28/monkeypox-simulation-in-2021-predicted-current-outbreak/amp/

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

I'm assuming that there are enough pandemic preparedness simulations about things that are likely to become pandemics for this to be relatively likely.

predicts YES

(I don't think there's any sort of conspiracy here.)

Related questions

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?

Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024?

Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?

Will the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?

Will an emerging infectious disease be the top BBC Health item on Jan 1, 2025?

If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?

Related questions

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?

In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?

Will the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?

Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024?

Will an emerging infectious disease be the top BBC Health item on Jan 1, 2025?

Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?

If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?