Will JD Vance mention ‘If anyone builds it everyone dies’ by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky before 2026?
32
Ṁ1716Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Was inspired by JD Vance mentioning AI 2027. For this to resolve yes:
Direct References:
• Says the book title “If anyone builds it everyone dies”
• Names both authors “Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky” in context of the book
• Shows or holds up the book
Indirect but Clear References:
• “I read that book by Eliezer about AI alignment”
• “There’s this book that says if anyone builds AGI, everyone dies”
• Mentions reading/discussing a book by “Eliezer” or “Yudkowsky” about AI risks/alignment/safety
Context Requirements:
• Must occur in public setting: interviews, speeches, social media, podcasts, debates, etc.
• Must be verifiable through video, audio, or reliable transcript
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