Will it be possible to convert mana into real money either on Manifold or any other platform by 2025?
49
Ṁ78872025
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if by the end of 2025 Manifold has introduced a possibility to convert mana into cash or in a crypto currency that is convertible into cash. It will also resolve YES if there is an informal market with permanent supply and demand on any platform like Ebay etc. to convert mana into cash/crypto. Please post links into comments, if you know of any informal markets.
This market will resolve No if there is no such market by the end of 2025.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Golkj please clarify if the outlined "prize points" scheme where you bet mana on a market and receive prize points would resolve this Yes.
Related questions
Related questions
How much mana will Manifold sell in 2024?
Will Manifold enable purchasing Mana with Bitcoin before 2030?
40% chance
When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
Will mana attain value and establish an exchange rate before the end of 2024?
48% chance
If Manifold removes the option to send mana to charity or redeem it for anything else of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will it be possible to buy mana with any cryptocurrency before 2025?
24% chance
If Manifold continues to allow mana to be sent to charity or redeemed for other objects of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will a real money alternative to manifold appear before 2025?
32% chance
Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?
60% chance
Will Manifold allow Mana purchases of $10,000 in 2024?
46% chance