When will Joe Biden first visit Africa?
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Plus
24
แน€12k
Jan 22
6%
After Election Day (Nov 6) to Dec 1st
85%
Dec 2nd to Dec 31st
7%
Jan 1st to Jan 20th (Inauguration)
16%
Never, or after Jan 20th
Resolved
NO
Oct 10 to Election Day (Nov 5)

Biden has several times promised he will go to Africa, without doing so. His October 2024 trip just got "postponed", and he promises that it will happen. Will his term come and go without it ever happening?

"First visit" from market start, of course.
As reported by credible media.
Will be resolved by first day he sets foot on the continent. Multiple trips or countries do not matter, will only resolve to the first one.

Local time in any country he sets foot in.

Set to "any number" so that periods can be resolved as they pass, and not lock up mana.
I expect to bet in this market, resolution seems unambiguous enough.

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After Election Day (Nov 6) to Dec 1st

@HenriThunberg changed this to Nov 6, so that it's mutually exclusive like all other answers. If it happens on Nov 5, I commit to paying 10k mana to whoever stands to lose at time of change haha.