
Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?
Mini
8
á¹€5032026
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.
House arrest, electronic confinement at a private home, would not.
Let me know if you want me to outline edge cases before you trade.
I might trade in this market, will probably be low-stakes.
Get á¹€1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
27% chance
Will Elizabeth Holmes serve at least 2 years of her prison sentence?
93% chance
Will Elizabeth Holmes serve at least 4 years of her prison sentence?
82% chance
Will Aella spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
6% chance
Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027?
64% chance
Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence?
20% chance