X copies sold of Trump's God Bless The USA Bible before EOY 2024?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ2397
resolved Aug 4
Resolved
YES
We never get enough information (This is only answer to resolve YES, rest NO)
Resolved
NO
≥100,000
Resolved
NO
≥250,000
Resolved
NO
≥500,000
Resolved
NO
≥1,000,000
Resolved
NO
≥5,000,000
Resolved
NO
≥10,000,000
Resolved
NO
≥50,000,000
Resolved
NO
≥50,000

Resolves to YES for any number as it is passed by credible reporting.
Resolves NO for numbers that haven't been confirmed/suspected by market close February 2025.

I hope I can avoid an N/A resolution, and will go for shifty evidence, revenue numbers, indications, media guesses, despite not having 100% clear proof if that's needed.

Resolution might be less messy if I don't trade in the market, so I won't.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/26/trump-hawking-god-bless-the-usa-bible-ahead-of-christian-holiday-00149151

  • Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:

    • The outcome will be resolved as NO unless new evidence is submitted that specifically provides a credible report on the number of copies sold.

    • The revenue figure provided (from the financial disclosure for The Greenwood Bible) will not be considered as evidence of copies sold.

    • Evidence Requirement: Only direct, credible reporting confirming the number will trigger a YES resolution.

  • Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated the market will resolve to NO unless new evidence is submitted that meets a stricter standard.

    • Revenue figures will not be considered sufficient evidence for a YES resolution.

    • Only direct, credible reporting that specifically confirms the number of copies sold will be accepted.

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We never get enough information (This is only answer to resolve YES, rest NO)

@HenriThunberg will resolve to this unless someone disagrees, I can't find any numbers that are relevant enough @traders

"Trump has made $300,000 (£273,000) from branded bibles, listed on the financial disclosure form as "The Greenwood Bible"."

According to BBC, seems to be only number I can find at a quick search. Will resolve all of them to NO unless someone wants to post other evidence.

@HenriThunberg it's time in the round

[deleted]

We never get enough information (This is only answer to resolve YES, rest NO)

@HenriThunberg As long as there is enough information to place the number above 50k, this will resolve NO, right?

@marvingardens correct, either that answer resolves YES, or 1+ of the numbers ones do.