In 2024 will there be fewer manifold market questions relating to Sam Altman compared to 2023?
Mini
6
Ṁ93
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
N/A

Resolves YES if there are fewer markets opened in 2024 with "Sam Altman" specifically mentioned in either the questions or answers compared to 2023. Otherwise resolves NO. I will count the number of markets based on their launch date, irrespective of whether they are still open or have been resolved.

  • Update 2025-10-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:

    • The market will now resolve to N/A due to the inability to reliably count all relevant markets.

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Sorry everyone - I can't find a way to reliably answer this. I can only see the first 100 resolved markets, I can't be sure I've counted all the 2023 markets (of which there were many). Seems fairest to resolve to N/A.

This seems susceptible to manipulation by someone betting NO and then creating markets next year.

@topanter I had not thought of that, but you're right. (I will not bet either way)

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