MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
54
Ṁ13k
Dec 31
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

#️ Wars
#Iran
#Middle East
#🇮🇱 Israel
#World
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

See also:

/EvanDaniel/will-iran-acquire-a-nuclear-weapon

/EvanDaniel/will-iran-acquire-a-nuclear-weapon-0LzRhnhyPd

Related questions

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
35% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
17% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
9% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
18% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
35% chance

Related questions

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
35% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
18% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
17% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
8% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
9% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
35% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout