
As of our 2023 light cone, is there extraterrestrial life in the galaxy?
Plus
16
Ṁ6189999
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves once we've explored the galaxy and can be pretty sure.
Panspermia counts iff it was:
From natural causes and not human spacecraft.
The life in question is replicating and growing to a successful enough extent that it doesn't seem likely to go extinct any time soon, and has spread out a significant distance from its landing point.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2033?
24% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2025?
1% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
17% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
16% chance
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
25% chance
Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?
15% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2025?
5% chance
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
38% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
8% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?
9% chance