By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
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2051
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By 2050, it will [] be possible to increase a healthy adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

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2y

Does it require the treatment being worth >=2 std on 100% of people who haven't had it? Or would increasing any adult's IQ by that much count?

What about treatments that work on 10% of the population? And 1%

2y

See also the negated version of this question:

(It's the exact same question, I'm just curious which title phrasing gets more interest.)

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