If I stick with Digital Ocean, will they attempt to censor any content I host with them before 2030?
If I stick with Digital Ocean, will they attempt to censor any content I host with them before 2030?
4
Ṁ2112030
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I use DigitalOcean for all of my websites. I also have a tendency to pick fights with people. One company has already threatened to sue me over an article I wrote about them, and more may well follow.
This resolves YES if DO tells me I have to take any content down, or forcibly does it for me. (Not counting things that aren't my doing, like if my website gets hacked and used to send spam against my wishes.)
If I move my controversial content away from Digital Ocean before any such attempt, this resolves N/A.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?
47% chance
Will arxiv be credibly accused of political censorship in 2023, 2024, or 2025?
22% chance
Will YouTube begin restricting uploads by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will online LGBTQ+ content be censored in the US before 2026?
34% chance
Will vice.com end up deleting > 50% of their pre-existing online content by EOY 2027?
47% chance
Will Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services over a refusal to moderate content?
19% chance
Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?
60% chance