Will any seastead have a population of at least 100 permanent residents before 2030?
Mini
9
Ṁ1402030
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They must plan to live there for at least 10 years, and plausibly look to do so.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
24% chance
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
20% chance
In 2030, will Maldives Floating City be home to at least 2,000 people?
20% chance
In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
34% chance
Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
30% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
9% chance
What will be true of the first human space colony? (Population > 1000)
Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?
70% chance
Will there be 50 people in space at any moment before 2030?
31% chance
Will there be 100 Starships by 2050?
69% chance