Will I make it to the end of 2025 without breaking my glasses?
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8
Ṁ156
2026
77%
chance

Recently got glasses. I have a tendency to break stuff.

Scratches don't count, they have to actually be broken. Losing them permanently also counts.

#Personal
#Personal Goals
#Health
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Is this your first pair?

@AlexBokov Yes

bought Ṁ10 YES

How often do you break your glasses?

@zsig By Laplace's law of succession, about 1/29 times per year.

@IsaacKing deets?

@AlexBokov https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession

@IsaacKing What is the reference class you are using?

@AlexBokov That was a joke, the base rate should obviously change when I go from "having no glasses" to "having glasses".

bought Ṁ5 NO

I just broke my glasses of 7 years, weakly updating in the direction of 2025 just being a cursed year for glasses

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