Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?
Plus
15
Ṁ4172027
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes myself, my sister, and my parents. Not any more distant relatives. Only counts instances after market creation.
Must actually be a crime, not mean words. Minor crimes do qualify, as long as they're clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Lorelai Sending me mean words in this market would be neither a crime nor clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
Only when they go to synagogue.
bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 26%
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?
9% chance
How many antisemitic incidents reported in the US in 2024?
Will the Senate pass the Antisemitism Awareness Act before EOY 2025?
36% chance
Will the Anti-Defamation League add the Star of David to its list of hate symbols before 2028?
7% chance
Will the FBI report that US hate crimes in 2024 were up over 2023?
49% chance
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
18% chance
How many antisemitic incidents reported in Australia (2025)?
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
24% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
4% chance
Will someone be prosecuted for a hate crime against a digital artificial intelligence in the USA by the end of 2060?
44% chance