
Will Scott Alexander be removed from Substack before 2030
Mini
9
Ṁ2262030
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Another attempted operationalization of scandal markets. Resolves YES if Substack kicks Scott off the platform, or Scott choses to leave the platform under circumstances that make it seem likely that Substack would have kicked them off if they didn't leave themselves.
This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
10% chance
Will Scott Alexander lose a job position for behavior, before 2030?
3% chance
Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?
47% chance
Will Bryan Caplan still be on substack through the end of 2034?
39% chance
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander do anything before 2030 that I personally would consider highly unethical?
6% chance
Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
33% chance
Will Scott Alexander be accused of a felony in a mainstream news outlet before 2030?
5% chance
Will Substack be acquired before the end of 2026?
37% chance