Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
25
แน€4347
2026
18%
chance

I will wait for at least a month after the war ends to try and get more reliable data. I reserve the right to extend the resolve date until reliable data is available.

Get แน€1,000 play money
Sort by:

One month after a formal ceasefire and withdrawal is nowhere near long enough to begin to actually assess the carnage and destruction. Gaza has been quite literally leveled. People are dead in unmarked graves, under rubble, in hospitals, in Israeli prisons, in mass graves, and on the streets. Others have been taken hostage, fled, or even kidnapped. I would hope you extend the resolution date considerably account for all this.

OCHA says it could take three years to retrieve the estimated 10,000 bodies buried under rubble.

bought แน€817 NO

This is 3 times the number of estimated Hamas fighters at the beginning of the war...

Civilians count.

bought แน€19 NO

Yea, just giving proportion to the number.

@JamesF ping