Will Elon Musk release a phone before 2026?
18
Ṁ821
2025
8%
chance

Will a smartphone device be released under any brand owned or created by Elon Musk?

Resolves YES if a smartphone device is launched under any of the following brands:

  • SpaceX/Starlink

  • Tesla

  • X/Twitter

  • xAI

  • Neuralink

Resolves YES if Musk creates or acquires a company and a smartphone is released under that brand.

Things that are not sufficient to resolve YES

  • A smartphone device launched under a brand previously associated with Musk (e.g., PayPal or OpenAI) but no longer under his control

  • A third-party license deal with a Musk brand. For example, Samsung releasing an "X/Twitter" phone would not qualify

In the case that affilliation with Musk is not clear, credible reporting will be used to determine the resolution.

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