Will there be a profitable moon base by 2050?
39
Ṁ34902050
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolved YES, if there is a base on the lunar surface permanently inhabitated by humans for at least 3 months, and all revenues of the base exceed all costs.
Possible costs:
Initial construction, launch, salary, maintanance, etc. - but not the basic research & developement to make a moon base possible.
Possible revenues:
mining exports (such as helium 3), research contracts, space tourism, satellite launch contracts, real estate, manufacturing, refueling, entertainment, etc.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Moon base by 2040?
69% chance
Will there be a moon base by 2030?
24% chance
Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
34% chance
Will the mostly self-sufficient Moon colony exist by 2100?
35% chance
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
38% chance
Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
39% chance
Will there be a lunar base by the end of 2029?
16% chance
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
18% chance
Will we have at least ONE colony in space by 2050?
73% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on the moon in 2063?
48% chance