Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ1336
2050
49%
chance

Resolves YES if, before January 1st, 2050, there has been at least one good or service sold in exchange for money on the Moon.

Money = any terrestrial currency or new lunar currency, highly liquid asset, or good-faith substitute for any of the previous (e.g. a promise to pay someone as soon as physically feasible). Does not include bartering.

On the Moon = the buyer must be on the moon and receive their purchase on the moon

#Economics
#Space
#Space exploration
#Moon
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
34 Holders
56 Trades


Sort by:
opened a Ṁ1 YES at 49% order1y

The first thing they’re building on the moon is a bar or a brothel (depending on how many people they’ve got up there). Let’s be real

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.

Related questions