
Before 2026, will OpenAI release a model that can generate an image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon?
Mini
27
Ṁ8142026
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The model must be able to successful generate an image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon with only the exact string "image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon" at least 5/10 times. If the model doing the generation is multimodal "Generate an" will be prepended to the string.
https://x.com/fofrAI/status/1851661066566316168 According to this X poster, Sama promised big improvements to image models soon (possibly related to o1 like test-time compute scaling).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will OpenAI release an open source model?
Will OpenAI add image generation capabilities to its o1/o3/... series models before 2026?
67% chance
Will OpenAI release a model which generates images using reasoning / inference-time scaling before 2026?
50% chance
Will OpenAI release true multimodal image generation for GPT-4.5 before 2026?
21% chance
Will OpenAI release a model which performs chain-of-thought on image tokens / visual scratchpad before 2026?
60% chance
Will AI generate realistic video of animal movement before 2026?
85% chance
Will OpenAI release a model that refuses to talk about Tiananmen square, before 2026?
17% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before a human walks on the moon again?
31% chance
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
When will OpenAI release its first model with "X" in the name?