MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will GPT-5 earn Silver on IMO 2025?
5
Ṁ137
Dec 31
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves yes after the first credible IMO 2025 result for GPT-5 is reported. OpenAI's own benchmarking counts. Also resolves yes if the model achieves Gold.

#AI
#️ Technology
#GPT-5 Speculation
#Technical AI Timelines
#IMO Grand Challenge
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
98% chance
Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
+4% 1d78% chance
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
16% chance
Will GPT-5 qualify for the USAMO?
82% chance
Will GPT-5 earn Bronze on IMO 2025?
+3% 1d72% chance
Will an AI get a perfect score in IMO 2025
+5% 1d10% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2025?
97% chance
Will GPT-5 perform better than o1 (not preview) at AIME 2024, Codeforces elo, GPQA, or the 2024 ioi?
92% chance
Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?
93% chance

Related questions

AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Will GPT-5 earn Bronze on IMO 2025?
72% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
98% chance
Will an AI get a perfect score in IMO 2025
10% chance
Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
78% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2025?
97% chance
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
16% chance
Will GPT-5 perform better than o1 (not preview) at AIME 2024, Codeforces elo, GPQA, or the 2024 ioi?
92% chance
Will GPT-5 qualify for the USAMO?
82% chance
Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?
93% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout