Will anyone ever achieve Q>5 in a D-He3 reactor smaller than 1km^3?
Plus
22
Ṁ4974001
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mixtures with >100ppm tritium don't count. For ICF, the denominator has to be the total wall-plug power, not just the portion of it delivered to the fuel.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-He3?
15% chance
Will Helion achieve breakeven deuterium-helium-3 fusion before 2026?
15% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-D?
6% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be T-He3?
5% chance
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Will Helion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-T?
75% chance
Will there be subcritical accelerator-driven fission plants by 2050?
33% chance
Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?
16% chance
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
22% chance