Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?
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Today Trump announced that he wants the US to take over Gaza. This market resolves YES if any US troops are officially sent to Gaza for the purpose of fighting Hamas or occupying terrority (humanitarian missions do not count). Will resolve based on both official government statements (from the US and Israel) and accounts from reputable media sources (NYT, WSJ, etc).

  • Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Troop Requirement:

    • A minimum of 150 troops must be officially deployed to Gaza, as confirmed by reliable media sources.

Exclusions:

  • Deployments consisting solely of military advisors will not count.

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Hi,

@JoshCohen how would you resolve an scenario similar to point 15 of Trump’s plan?

"The United States will work with Arab and international partners to develop a temporary International Stabilization Force (ISF) to immediately deploy in Gaza. The ISF will train and provide support to vetted Palestinian police forces in Gaza, and will consult with Jordan and Egypt who have extensive experience in this field."

@MiguelLM If solely for training and logistics, not enough to resolve yes. However, if there is reputable evidence of US troops (as part of the ISF or not) directly fighting against Hamas/gangs/etc, this will resolve yes.

Can you define resolution criteria? Suggest a large number, to avoid the ‘military advisor’ situation.

@OP Let's say there must be at least 150 troops as confirmed by reliable media outlets. And yes, some military advisors only would not count.