How many US nuclear reactors will reopen by 2030?
How many US nuclear reactors will reopen by 2030?
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8
Ṁ2982030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
12%
0
19%
1
24%
2
32%
3-4
11%
5-7
2%
8+
How many currently-closed US commercial nuclear reactors will reopen by the beginning of 2030?
Excludes military and small experimental/research reactors. Some nuclear plants have multiple reactors, and each reactor would count separately.
Nuclear reactors must have been closed as of September 20, 2024 and subsequently reopened and entered active service (sending power to the grid and/or an end user) at a later date, by January 1 2030.
List of US nuclear reactors. 13 have been closed since 2013; before that, the last closure was in 1998
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Palisades (different from Three Mile Island, which was recently in the news) finalizes federal loan to reopen:
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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