Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
Mini
16
แน€1530
2028
57%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
41%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 2028
1%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
1%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican loses in 2028

Resolves to the correct combination of these events. This is an experiment to see how much people think the whitehouse is a "metronome" that is inclined to swing from one party to the other.

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bought แน€50 A Republican loses i... NO

@Joshua Two of those can resolve No