Will the next president have an approval rating above 43% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?
Mini
12
Ṁ23932026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.2%
There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will exceed 43% in 2025
0.4%
There will be a Democrat president, and their approval rating will not exceed 43% in 2025
99%
There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will exceed 43% in 2025
0.5%
There will be a Republican president, and their approval rating will not exceed 43% in 2025
Resolves based on 538's tracker, or the most similar source I can find if 538's tracker becomes unavailable.
Both Biden and Trump have had approval ratings above this number, though not often. Right now, Biden's approval rating is 38.8% and Trump's is 43.1%.
This market will count any republican or democrat president if it's somehow not Biden or Trump, but it only counts the person who is inaugurated in January 2025. So if someone is inaugurated but then removed from office and replaced by their VP, their VP's approval rating will not count for this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
12% chance
What will be President Donalds Trump approval rating on December 31st, 2025?
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating be above 30 on April 1, 2025
97% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
37% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
38% chance
Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?
59% chance
Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 65% or more in the next 20 years?
24% chance
Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?
63% chance
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
37% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
15% chance