By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?
Plus
11
แน7052049
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Thinking of those countries in South Asia and the Middle East that will likely be getting regular lethal wet bulb temperatures, or those coastal countries that will likely lose land to sea level rises
This will resolve to some extent on consensus, but such a war would be characterized by the seizing, or failure to seize, of cooler or higher territory.
Presumably before (and after) would be characterized by wet bulb events, or coastal flooding. It seems fair to expect that there would also be a public media debate about the need for such action, at least in countries with a free press.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
@CromlynGames only if the downstream country is attempting to seize and hold territory related to the dam
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
6% chance
Which country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?
43% chance
Will any country declare war on any other, using CO2 or microplastics emission, as a causus belli by 2055
13% chance
Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?
52% chance
Will human civilization have altered into an unrecognizable state by 2100?
44% chance
Will China fight a major land war by 2035?
30% chance
Will there be space wars by 2050
34% chance
Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?
7% chance