Will the S&P 500 fall below 4000 points at any time before the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 fall below 4000 points at any time before the end of 2024?

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Will the S&P 500 finish 2024 at 5,000 or higher?

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Will the S&P 500 finish 2024 at 5,000 or higher?