What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
Mini
16
แน3352029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
27%
Moldova
21%
Georgia
16%
14%
Belarus
9%
Kazakhstan
7%
Estonia
3%
Azerbaijan
If a new country is not attacked by the start of 2030 resolves to NA.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
deleted
@JoelHancock If such an event does not bring any consequence (sending more troops for example), i won't count it as an attack.
There must be an order given. If a conflict is risen by ordinary soldiers and their recklessness, this will not count.
@JoelHancock but an airstrike is an obvious attack, it cannot be caused by "tension between soldiers and population" and would be a definitive yes case.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia threaten non-Ukrainian cities with a small nuclear attack before 2025?
17% chance
Which country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Will another country join the Russian-Ukraine war before it ends?
32% chance
Who will be the next country to join NATO?
[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
28% chance
When will Russia attack Europe with military force?
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
6% chance
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
12% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
21% chance
When will Russia first fight another country troops beside Ukraine's?